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[Stock Market Prediction] 4-24-2010 http://www.StockMarketFunding.com Stock Market Prediction Before The Biggest Drop In the History of the Dow Jones Industrial Average SMF told people on 4/24/2010 to expect a 6-10% stock market decline
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The easy way is to use the wet one in your head. You use a university to train it instead of a more traditional backprop, though.
Barring that, of course, there are a couple significant challenges here. First, you need to recognize and understand the characteristics of the ANN approach. You need to know how big of a network you’re talking about… three layers is all fine and good, but you’re going to need to know how many nodes to work with. The most significant problem, though, is the inputs… to predict prices with any kind of accuracy, you’d need to be able to track, input and train on at least some variables that affect price. The purely numerical ones (the day of the week, yesterday’s price, the index prices, etc) are fairly easy, but you’ll need to account for everything else, too… people’s minds can change for totally unrelated occurrences, they may blindly follow trends (meaning you’ll need to loop some of your output back) or go against them. They may buy or sell in large quantities because of what analysts say on TV, whether or not it makes sense. You may be able to model a lot of that with statistical models, but the devil is in syncing the timing to reality.
Bottom line, it’s an interesting problem. Solve it well, and you’ll never need to work again 
no matter how much success anyone has has in the past no-one can successfully predict how the stock market is going to move in the future other than for a very short period and then for every expert saying one thing there is another saying the exact opposite!
for example each year there are predictions from the top experts as to the level that the FTSE index will be at the end of the year (no doubt there are similar predictions in other countries) – the range and spread of predictions is so wide every year that it is impossible to have any real idea of whether the market is going to go up or down let alone by how much. The top prediction is frequently double the bottom one with a fairly even spread between them – unless something miraculous or disaterous happens one of them will be right!
my advice – don’t waste you money buying books trying to predict what is going to happen and only invest money on the stock market that you can afford to lose if everything goes wrong (after all 2 yrs ago who would have that GM would be in trouble)
I say we will hit 11K DOW by DEC 2009. I see way to many investors buying cheap houses and many people increasing thier 401k contributions. SOMETHING IS UP. But you wont hear this on CNN OR FAX NEWS.
WHATS yours prediciton for the dow AND why?
I agree with you it will go up but by years end it’ll be about 10K.
BAC will be around $20 a share by years end!!!
I increased my 401K contributions.
Zapata George teaches you more about the stock market in 5 minutes than you will learn in 10 years. The first in a series of lessons on investing from one of the best in the business.
Duration : 0:4:47
The market soars again! Get in while everything is at an extreme discount. It’s clear the stock market is at bottom. New to trading? Don’t worry! My video shows you how to easily buy and sell stocks to make $6,000 in less than a week using a basic e-trade account and my stock prediction software. The stock market trading software will tell you what stocks are set for gain based on a certain analysis. You can use any brokerage account like scottrade, ameritrade, etc. I simply use the basic e-trade account. For more information on the software used and other videos, visit www.IncomeSpiders.com
Duration : 0:5:16
Where is the bottom of this bear market?
The bottom is lower than where we are now. Not quite enough fear in the market, although there is clearly a lot of pessimism. We need more volatility to shake out the shorts, and we are no where near the volatility seen in January and March of this year, and the bottom of the bear market that ended in 2003.
Scott Cole
www.kungfutrader.com
www.theultimatestocktradingsystem.com
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